Tuesday, March 18, 2014

The 95% Okinawan Independence Theory Money Changes Everything!

The 95% Okinawan Independence Theory Money Changes Everything!

Recently I was told by some Okinawan activists that 95% Okinawans want independence. Outright independence, not just autonomy. They want a clean break from Tokyo.

But as we see, evidence is scant. There is little sign of independence activism that point to such numbers.

Why is this so? I suspect it is not because Okinawans do not want independence. The reason I see is they have almost given up hope.

Back in the sixties and seventies, there were massive protest. However over the years many Okinawans feel this is a lost cause. They think they are overwhelmed by political and Economic Intimidation from Tokyo and Washington.

Now this is some forty odd years later and the younger generations don't know what their parents struggle and fight for during those years. As in other countries, these younger generations are the smartphone generations and are more distracted by computer games, social networking than doing the hard job of fighting for their independence.

But in any case they must have being instilled knowledge of independence fight by their parents and as they grow older they understand the importance to fight for their own destiny. But the question have always being economic isn't it?

How do want fight for independence without money? There must be money to help measure the true feelings of Okinawans. Money to help them express themselves. There are many poor Okinawans. With almost the highest unemployment rate in Japan this can only mean there are many Okinawans with no money. With no money they basically depend on handouts from friends, and relatives as well as basic government financial support. There is hardly any money for them to go from point A to point B if they want to do something like show support in a demonstration for independence. This then give an example of a group of Okinawans who may support independence but are not counted.

In order to count them, money is needed to help provide free transportation to bring them to an independence rally I am pretty sure the true number of people wishing to become independent is very very high They need at least two things: .. Hope and Money .

This is not to say money should be used to buy Okinawan dignity. They should decide independence on their own free will. Money is just an enabler to help flush out their true feelings.

Hope will be rekindled after they see more people join independence rally. This is basically natural Herd Instinct. Many people are like sheeple, they just follow the crowd. In this case, when the independence movement grows bigger, those on the sideline will join too. It is a self feeding flame that will swell to a giant inferno. This will truly show the will of the Okinawans for independence.

I believe the latent wish for independence is there among Okinawans. They just need a booster financing to fund the movement. If you are able and willing to support Okinawa independence please contact Yara to help fund his organization.

Meanwhile enjoy Cindy Lauper's song here.

http://youtu.be/3aK-UjR3Oj4

http://youtu.be/202o_JS7E04
This Is Wild!

Ukraine Crimea illustration: .. Just like Crimea, Okinawans are a distinct race, different from Yamato Japanese There is resentment from being governed by current government in Ukraine as their economic condition is a failure and seeking to be part of Russia is their best option. For Okinawans , you seek nobody, not China, not USA, but you stand on your own feet, like Taiwan, another island nation. You basically need to have a competitive currency of your own to help with exports. You don't need to depend on just tourism.

Crimea's Moscow-backed leaders declared an overwhelming 96.7% vote in favor of leaving Ukraine and being annexed by Russia in a referendum that Western powers said was illegal and will bring sanctions. Turnout was 83%

Okinawans can make such a statement too to be independent instead. Let's see what Tokyo do next. Once the will of the people have spoken, it will be very hard for Tokyo to ignore their will to leave even if DIET declare illegal. I think Tokyo will not dare to punish Okinawa economically though there may be short term threat. It will be disaster if Tokyo proceed to threaten Okinawa as Okinawans can threaten back to be part of China or US or whatever game she can play for leverage. In any case the international community will have a sympathetic ear for Okinawans and will make sure she does not fail economically.

If Tokyo continue to ignore Okinawan will, Okinawa should start to issue new currency and do own self border policing as first step of sovereignty. Jeitai should be forced out, road blockage, made unwelcomed.

http://www.uchinanchu.org/uchinanchu/history_reversion.htm

Visit site to make a donation.
http://www.bekkoame.ne.jp/i/a-001/

Many Okinawan Brainwashed With Fear About China Military Attack & Economic Consequences And The Autonomy Question

Many Okinawan Brainwashed With Fear About China Military Attack & Economic Consequences And The Autonomy Question

From my conversations it appears many, not all Okinawans are brainwashed into thinking China is a danger to their security. They are mistaken. Let me try to explain clearly below.

First question: Are you a Chinese agent? Hell No!

I am sure many people deliberately or from ignorance paint me as a Chinese agent. If you take the time to look around you will see I have no interest in siding with ANY country. For me Okinawa Independence is just a necessary step to bring Global Peace as the risk of war between China and Japan is very high with Jeitai in Naha and the smaller islands.

The driving motivation is my believe that Japanese leadership is unable to behave maturely and have to be constrained by US. Japanese leadership behavior in WWI, WWII, constant denials about Massacres, Comfort Women, this is not a mature country anybody can trust. Please be clear: .. I am not anti Japanese, I am anti Japanese leadership under LDP, Abe and his nationalists constituents There is no guarantee US can constrain Japan forever, thus removing Jeitai from Okinawa is necessary to defang Tokyo from military adventurism Remember I posted Jeitai if moved to Kyushu airbases makes it much harder for F15, even F35 to patrol Diaoyu / Senkaku due to range problem, so it is very problematic unless mid air refuelling and also carry less payload. Thus Tokyo insist on Naha and the smaller islands due to combat range considerations.

Briefly since Sept 2012 Japan have use intimidation, telling lies to hoodwink the public that China is the aggressor while she initiate the trouble and take very aggressive actions like sending eight fighter jets to intimidate a small Chinese propeller plane, forced a fire radar lock from Chinese destroyer on Jeitai navy ship only 2 km away near Miyako Strait and tell the world China is the aggressor. This is a setup I am exposing here as Japan do this in her home turf advantage. If Chinese navy don't warn off Japanese destroyer, it will be hit in less than 15 second given the short distance. The ADIZ by China in East China Sea last Nov followed by ten Japanese fighter jets with only two US jets. Furthermore Tokyo have plan to force down Chinese surveillance or military plane to land on the Miyako islands or other airstrips near Diaoyu / Senkaku. Luckily so far not yet implemented or this will surely start a war. I am saying Japan use aggressive tactics trying to intimidate China but will cause a war with her wrong headed aggressive stance. With the Nothing To Negotiate Stance over Diaoyu / Senkaku Islands, what do people expect China to do? Not coming to Diaoyu / Senkaku to assert sovereignty? So we are in this standoff today because of Tokyo's inflexible stance and aggressive behavior. Since Sept 2012 China have improve her navy and air force greatly making her more likely to react very strongly if Tokyo dare to do any foolish acts again. And of course if war breaks out, Okinawa will be caught in the middle. This then is going to be the price Okinawans have to pay for inaction.

Meanwhile as we can see Okinawa is caught in the middle and paying the price of near zero Chinese interest in her economy. I said in this world, it is the smaller countries like Okinawa ad Taiwanese people who holds the key to Global Peace but if they don't take action, it will be an uneasy poisoned atmosphere they have to live with forever. It is correct to say the bigger countries, be it US, China, Japan, they are all fearful of Taiwan, Okinawa if the locals have back bone and fight for their own rights and stay neutral. That is the only pathway for such small countries so as never to be militarily useful to any of them.

Okinawan relationship with China is clouded by politics and propaganda. This have serious consequence in the economic development of Okinawa.

From numerous observations and comments I learn many Okinawans have a Chinaphobia problem. What's that? That is a fancy word to describe a fear of the Chinese government. Okinawans fear China have ulterior motives to conquer their islands.

One can only ask why Okinawans got so brainwashed. Let me guess.
US and Japan are like tumor, having bases all over Okinawa. Now how do they keep their bases there in spite of Okinawans complaining about safety, loud noises, environmental damage? You guess it. One way is to divert attention towards the danger of Chinese invasion of their islands! This is classic psychological warfare and it is sad many unthinking Okinawans fall into this propaganda spread by Tokyo and US.

Some are just their own imagination of course, but there is no basis for their fear. There is no history of Chinese invasion into Okinawa.

There were two Chinese invasion of Japan but they were done by the Mongols who invaded and rule China for a few hundred years. So China herself was a victim of foreign invasion, at least a couple of times in recent history.

So I hope all Okinawans think clearer and don't fear a Chinese invasion. It won't happen anyway with US and Jeitai forces in Okinawa. If there is any war, it will happen over the seas and perhaps as part of Chinese Short Sharp War if there is surprise attack, it will be the Jeitai bases in Naha and elsewhere in the islands. This means people living in Naha just got to hope Chinese missiles are accurate enough not to stray and hit them.

At this stage China have 16 Beidou satellites out of 30 that is optimal for best accuracy. So the accuracy of targeting may not be as good now as say in 2020 when all are operational.

As I said many times, if the investment climate is not good, nobody overseas want to come to Okinawa to do business. You don't see hordes of foreigners from neighboring countries come to Okinawa to set up shop. Tokyo makes it hard deliberately I would say for Chinese business to come. They have to go to Fukuoka to do paperwork before coming to Okinawa. There is no Chinese consulate in Naha to facilitate trade from China. Evidence of lack of foreign investment can be seen with empty spaces in Nago and Naha FTZ Foreigners are just not interested under current Okinawa militarized atmosphere. http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2002/09/13/national/okinawas-free-trade-zones-failing-to-attract - companies /

In order to get investments from China, I think Okinawa need to kick out the Jeitai, make Okinawa neutral. Only a neutral Okinawa will be an attractive place for business for people from Japan, China etc.

Furthermore Okinawa may need their own currency to be competitive. Okinawans probably don't need to import much stuff or travel abroad, so a weaker currency will improve Okinawan export advantage. Perhaps a starting currency pegged at 80% of the Yen will encourage more business to flow in from Tokyo and Beijing. Using Yen is not very competitive for Okinawan industries as Japan itself have being losing manufacturing jobs over the last couple of decade. I read Japan's manufacturing shrink from 15 million jobs to 10 millions roughly since 1992, so this can only be attributed to Yen value being too high. This was reason for Abenomics massive Yen printing to force down Yen value to improve export competitiveness. Okinawans can do it one better with their own fixed peg to Yen at 80% to start to ensure dynamic export advantage. Of course this is not etch in stone and should be revised over time to adapt to new situations.

Autonomy: Definition:
au · ton · o · my
noun \ O-Ta-nə-Me \
: The state of existing or acting separately from others
:. The power or right of a country, group, etc, to govern itself

The components are economic autonomy, military autonomy, legal / judiciary autonomy, civilian force autonomy, immigration border autonomy, cultural autonomy, currency / trade policies autonomy etc. I think Okinawa already have autonomy except for border and military aspect. I don't see what further improvements can be had for Okinawa without going full independence. Inaction equals current state of limbo, never a bright future, but no disastrous poverty either as Tokyo cannot afford a riot in Okinawa and have to send Yen down south annually to prop up the government.

There are talks of autonomy among Okinawans in lieu of outright independence. Let's examine what that means. Using Scotland as an example, she have her own Scottish Parliament (I am glad I saw that building while in Edinburgh 2009!) Governing all local issues in Scotland. Only finance and defence controlled by London. This is about same in Okinawa. Defense in Scotland under London, UK have nuclear sub bases, radar stations, air bases in Scotland. That is autonomy. Once independence, you can bet Scotland will kick out all these military bases. Without independence, just autonomy, foreign military bases will always be in your land. Your land will be target of attack in any war.

Okinawa already have self determination for local issues with her own Okinawa Assembly making local laws. So using Scotland as an example, Okinawa ALREADY have autonomy. There is no lost of self control over domestic matters in Okinawa. The only intrusion I have seen is the text book Tokyo try to force on Okinawan education. There was a complain last year in Tektomi school and Okinawa Assembly should override Tokyo to make sure she really have autonomy in this aspect as well.
So in my opinion autonomy is not enough. They don't solve the problem of war danger that if it ever occur will be from Jeitai forces due to nationalist policies from LDP Abe and his supporters.

There is not a chance Okinawans can have real peace and economic progress if they continue the status quo and just complain. It is time to break out of this status quo or Okinawa will never be a happy country for her citizens. It is your own destiny and if you don't take action nobody can help you.

Jeitai forces are smart. They are well behaving unlike Americans, they keep low profile, thus Okinawans see them as good guys. It is true the personnel are well behaving but it is the policies from Tokyo that is the danger as I explained, not the personnel themselves.

What about the American bases? I think Americans are just using Okinawa as their all year round vacation! They just go there to make some noise, Pacific Power Projection and they have tacit understanding with China to just 'play along'. Not so with Tokyo . Tokyo vs China is serious confrontation whereas US and China is 'share the space' as both need to accomodate each other. They are both mature enough to understand war is too costly and have rules to prevent them from happening.

When should Okinawans push Jeitai out of their land if they push for independence? I think as soon as Okinawa manage to get more trade investments from China but as I said, China won't come if you don't make her feel welcomed! Remember you do not have sufficient labor skill and cost advantage to encourage them to come in the first place so if they do come, it will be more like a politically motivated investments by their state run corporations.

Sunday, March 2, 2014

「和訳版」Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands Inclusion In Okinawa Independence Two Step Strategy 沖縄独立運動に尖閣諸島を含めることについての2ステップ


尖閣諸島は、沖縄独立運動において、琉球国に含めなければならない。

二段階のステップこそが、軍事的アドバンテージにおいて、尖閣を中国と日本から引きはがすための唯一の現実的な方法である。
もしも尖閣が、沖縄独立に記録されなければ、領土争いは残されてしまい、中国対日米による戦争のリスクに晒され続けることになるだろう。
技術の進歩によって、戦闘機やミサイルの距離やスピードは改善され、おそらく10年後には、沖縄は日米と無関係になっているかもしれないが、領土問題を引きずったままでは、たとえ沖縄に基地がなくても、中国と日米間の戦争のポテンシャルはまだ持ったままだろう。

現在日本が領土としている尖閣を、沖縄独立の主張に含めることは必須である。
沖縄も(尖閣)諸島に対して、所有の根拠があるだろうが、おそらくそれは、中国や日本よりも弱い。
だからこそ、(尖閣)諸島付近での経済的権利を分け合うために、それぞれが満足のいく合意内容に達することが必要なのである。
このことは、独立運動家たちは早い段階で理解していなければならないし、それは彼らが中国や日本と共存していかねばならないからであって、この件について妥協を必要とするからである。

ところで、新琉球国の北限は、奄美から始まっていなければならない。
これは東京が新たな空軍基地を作ることを阻止するために役立つ。

独立運動の初期段階では、尖閣に対する領土権を主張したことによって、中国も東京も沖縄に対して敵意を向けてくるだろう。
ともあれ、中国はおそらく、独立沖縄が尖閣を共有するとわかれば、(敵意が)マシになるだろう。
それどころか中国は、沖縄の独立に大満足だろう、だから中国は、全体図を理解すれば、それほど文句を言わないだろう。
ただひとり東京だけが、沖縄の扱いに注意しなければならない、やり方を間違って、沖縄が東京に何も分けてあげなかった場合には、(沖縄の)独立によって失うものが最も多いからだ。

水面下で、独立後の(尖閣)諸島における軍事的経済的調整についての暗黙の了解ができている限り、中国と日本が怒っても問題はない。
だから第一段階としては、尖閣を沖縄のコントロール下に置くこと。
二段階目は、どんな軍隊の存在も許さないことによって、軍事的有用性をなくすこと、もしかすると、必要があれば国連軍を(尖閣)に。
経済的権利は、この二段階目で交渉すること。

台湾ももちろん怒るだろう、しかし領土問題に関しては、台湾はそれほどアクティブなプレイヤーではないから、資源については少な目のシェアになるべきだ、東京が与えた漁業権のように。

沖縄の人たちの目的は、文化の保存と、東京の狡猾な経済植民地主義と、二級市民扱いによる経済的締め付けから逃れることだが、独立運動においては、大きな世界的視野を持たねばならない。
尖閣諸島を独立琉球国の範囲内に含めることは必要であり、それが、沖縄を囲む大国の存在による、沖縄の軍事的重要性を中立化する唯一の方法である。

尖閣を巡る、沖縄独立運家と、中国・日本との交渉過程においては、密かに行われなければならない、そして新生琉球国を敬意と品位を持って遇してくれた国に対しては、報いなければならない。
(交渉は)おそらく独立運動が盛り上がって、東京と北京がまともに取り合ってくれるようになったあとの、遅い段階でなければできないだろう。

沖縄の人たちは、中国と日本の合意事項には関係なく、200マイルEEZ内へのフルアクセス漁業権と、オイル・ガスの掘削権を持つべきである。
沖縄のアクセス権について、制限が設けられるべきではない。

沖縄の人たちが、尖閣諸島を中立的に保持している限り、中国が尖閣を利用して潜水艦を隠しているんじゃないかとか、台湾や日本を脅かすために島を軍事占領するんじゃないかという危険に関しての、日米による軍事的心配はなくなる。

freeokin.blogspot.com

Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands Inclusion In Okinawa Independence Two Step Strategy

Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands Inclusion In Okinawa Independence Two Step Strategy

Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands must be included in Ryukus nation as part of the Okinawan independence pursuit.

The Two Step Strategy is the only practical way to keep Diaoyu/Senkaku out of the hand of Japan and China for military advantage. If Diaoyu/Senkaku is not included in Okinawa independence document, it will leave the islands dispute unresolved and will continue risking war between China and Japan/US. Technology advances improving jets and missile range and speed perhaps a decade away may make Okinawa irrelevant to Japan/US but the lingering disputes will still cause potential war between China and Japan/US even without Okinawa bases.

It is necessary to keep current Japanese claim on Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands in Okinawan Independence pursuit. Okinawan also have their own claim to the islands but perhaps not as strong as China or Japan. For this reason it is necessary to share the economic rights around the islands to reach a satisfactory arrangement among the parties. This should be understood early on by independence activists as they are destined to live with China and Japan and thus need to compromise on this issue.

BTW the northern reach of the new Ryukus nation should start from Amami. This also help prevent Tokyo from building a new airbase there.

In the early stage of the independence movement, both China and Tokyo will be hostile to Okinawans due to their claims on Diaoyu/Senkaku. However China will probably be less antagonistic when the post independent Okinawa share Diayou/Senkaku with her. Moreover China will be very happy to see Okinawa independent, so she will not complain too much after she see the big picture. Only Tokyo got to be careful how she treat Okinawans as she have the most to lose post independence if she mistreat Okinawans and Okinawans may not give her any share at all.

It does not matter China and Japan are both upset as long as behind the scene tacit agreement is made with them about post independence islands military, economic arrangements. So the first step is to have Diaoyu/Senkaku under Okinawan control. The second step is to neutralise the military usefulness by not allowing any military presence there, perhaps with UN forces on islands if needed. Economic rights to be negotiated as part of this second step.

Taiwan ROC will also be upset of course, but since she is not an active player in the dispute she should probably have less share to the resources, about like the fishery rights Tokyo give her now.

While the aspiration of Okinawans are cultural preservation and to get away from economic oppression from Tokyo via subtle economic colonialism strategy and other second class treatments, Okinawans must also think of the big global picture in their independence pursuit. It is necessary to include Diaoyu/Senkaku islands within the border of an independent Ryukus nation as the only way to neutralise it's military importance for the big powers around her.

There should be quiet behind the scene negotiation between the Okinawa independence activists with China and Japan regarding Diaoyu/Senkaku and reward those who treat a newly created Ryukus nation with respect and dignity. This probably can only be done at the later stage when the independence movement gather steam and is taken seriously by both Tokyo and Beijing.

Okinawans must have full access to the 200 miles EEZ fishery rights and the oil/gas drilling as well regardless of the agreements with China and Japan. There shall be no restrictions to Okinawan access.

By keeping Diaoyu/Senkaku islands in Okinawan hand and maintaining neutrality, there is no more military consideration by Japan/US with regard to danger of China using these islands to hide her submarines there and occupy the islands militarily to threaten Taiwan or Japan.